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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Austin Hooper's 92.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 75.4% rate.
  • Austin Hooper's 12.9 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a substantial gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 7.9 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Austin Hooper has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing offense this year (5.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (12.3%).
  • Austin Hooper has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (24.0 per game).
  • Austin Hooper has posted significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).
  • Austin Hooper's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a substantial decrease in his efficiency in space over last season's 4.6% figure.

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