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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+130/-169).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

As it relates to air yards, Austin Hooper ranks in the towering 79th percentile among tight ends last year, averaging an astounding 24.0 per game.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has conceded the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (56.0) to tight ends last year.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.42 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 6th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

While Austin Hooper has received 12.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of New England's passing offense in this week's contest at 6.8%.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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