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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.
  • The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Austin Hooper grades out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with an astounding 11.8% of his team's air yards accumulated.
  • With a stellar 6.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Hooper has been among the leading pass-game TEs in football in picking up extra yardage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 4th-least pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.3% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 122.0 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.3 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • Austin Hooper's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 81.0% to 41.1%.

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