Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
Austin Hooper has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (7.0 per game).
Austin Hooper's 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 9.9.
Austin Hooper has accrued quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (24.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
The Colts defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (59.0) to TEs this year.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 81.0% to 70.3%.