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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to run on 43.1% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

With a fantastic tally of 4.88 adjusted yards per carry (83rd percentile), Austin Ekeler stands as one of the leading running backs in the league since the start of last season.

The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 26th-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Green Bay Packers run defense has given up a staggering 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 30th-worst rate in the league.

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