Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 15, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Ekeler's rushing effectiveness has gotten better this season, averaging 5.63 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.45 mark last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the 27th-worst group of safeties in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.13 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.
After making up 54.4% of his offense's run game usage last year, Austin Ekeler has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for only 24.5%.
This year, the daunting Eagles run defense has allowed a measly 101.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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