Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler has received 58.3% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has generated 53.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (78th percentile).
The Los Angeles Chargers have gone for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 32.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
Austin Ekeler has been among the weakest running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.67 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.

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