Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 2:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to accrue 13.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has earned 60.9% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.25 yards-per-carry.
The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.