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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Austin Ekeler Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-210).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Austin Ekeler has garnered 57.1% of his team's red zone carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

Austin Ekeler has rushed for 0.67 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (96th percentile).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 4th-most touchdowns in the league (1.16 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-least run-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 38.7% red zone run rate.

Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.

The Los Angeles Chargers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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