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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Austin Ekeler Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-151).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +164 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.

Austin Ekeler has been given 68.6% of his offense's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Austin Ekeler has run for 0.70 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (94th percentile).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-most TDs in football (1.18 per game) vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least run-oriented team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 36.2% red zone run rate.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.

The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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