Austin Ekeler Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 19.7% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler's receiving performance has been refined this year, totaling 6.8 yards per game compared to a mere 4.3 last year.
Austin Ekeler's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 78.4% to 89.1%.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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