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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.

The projections expect Austin Ekeler to garner 3.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When talking about air yards, Austin Ekeler grades out in just the 5th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -5.0 per game.

Austin Ekeler has been one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 3rd percentile.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of LBs has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in the league.

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