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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in football last year, totaling a massive 59.8 plays per game.

This week, Austin Ekeler is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.8 targets.

Austin Ekeler has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 12.4% last year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Austin Ekeler checks in as one of the best RB receiving threats last year, averaging a remarkable 30.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 6 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense last year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Austin Ekeler has put up a meager -2.0 air yards per game last year: a lowly 15th percentile among RBs.

The Giants pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.52 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 10th-fewest in football.

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