Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-115/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to notch 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Austin Ekeler has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 19.7% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
Austin Ekeler has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (-12.0 per game) than he did last year (9.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Austin Ekeler's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a mere 5.84 yards-per-target compared to a 7.42 rate last year.

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