Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to total 6.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this season (20.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.8%).

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Austin Ekeler has totaled far fewer air yards this season (-6.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
Austin Ekeler's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 5.64 yards-per-target vs a 7.39 mark last year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (76.9%) to RBs this year (76.9%).

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