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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Austin Ekeler has garnered 54.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles grade out as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 9th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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