Austin Ekeler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/-108).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Austin Ekeler has garnered 54.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles grade out as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.
The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 9th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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