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Audric Estime

Audric Estime Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Audric Estime Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 137.6 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Saints this year (a monstrous 59.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) against the Falcons defense this year.
  • The Atlanta defensive tackles project as the worst DT corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Saints offensive scheme to tilt 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • This week's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Saints to run on 45.9% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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