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Ashton Jeanty

Ashton Jeanty Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Ashton Jeanty Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+126/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -12-point disadvantage, the Raiders are massive underdogs this week, indicating much more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This year, the poor Chiefs defense has surrendered a monstrous 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.
  • This year, the poor Kansas City Chiefs run defense has been gouged for a massive 1.00 rushing touchdowns per game to the opposing side: the 9th-biggest rate in football.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Kansas City's DT corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

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