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Ashton Jeanty

Ashton Jeanty Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Ashton Jeanty Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-107/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 133.7 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (141 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 10th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 40.5% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Bears linebackers project as the 4th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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