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Ashton Jeanty

Ashton Jeanty Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Ashton Jeanty Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-109/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Commanders safeties profile as the 6th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in football.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Commanders defense has allowed a mere 79.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

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