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Ashton Jeanty

Ashton Jeanty Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Ashton Jeanty Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Las Vegas offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers profile as the worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded a measly 80.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 7th-lowest rate in football.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a meager 5.6 yards.

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