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Ashton Dulin

Ashton Dulin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Ashton Dulin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-730).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +600 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +570.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • After accruing 10.0 air yards per game last season, Ashton Dulin has seen a big uptick this season, now boasting 18.0 per game.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Titans pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.8%) versus wideouts this year (77.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Colts being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.2% red zone run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).

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