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Ashton Dulin

Ashton Dulin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Ashton Dulin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+670/-880).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +830 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +670.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • While Ashton Dulin has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Indianapolis's passing attack near the goal line in this contest at 8.2%.
  • Ashton Dulin has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (10.0 per game).
  • The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Chargers defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL in the red zone (50.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Colts.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 127.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Ashton Dulin, who has earned 2.6% of his team's carries near the goal line this year (94th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Colts red zone ground game.
  • This year, Ashton Dulin has not caught any receiving TDs this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the league vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (64.1% Adjusted Completion%).

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