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Ashton Dulin

Ashton Dulin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

Ashton Dulin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+820/-870).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -880 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -870.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.

Ashton Dulin has put up significantly more air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (10.0 per game).

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

This year, the imposing Cardinals run defense has conceded a paltry 0.60 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.

Ashton Dulin, who has garnered 3.0% of his team's carries near the end zone this year (94th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wide receiver) of being involved in the Indianapolis Colts red zone running game.

Ashton Dulin has been has not been looked to very often his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to WRs.

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