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Ashton Dulin

Ashton Dulin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Ashton Dulin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-2800).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2800.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • This year, the fierce Atlanta Falcons run defense has allowed a puny 0.62 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.
  • The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.
  • Ashton Dulin, who has received 2.3% of his team's rush attempts near the goal line this year (93rd percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wide receiver) of being involved in the Colts red zone ground game.
  • When it comes to air yards, Ashton Dulin ranks in the lowly 25th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging just 12.0 per game.

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