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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-210/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -210.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Antonio Gibson has been a less important option in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 16.9% of snaps compared to 31.6% last year.

With a stellar record of 3.79 yards after contact (100th percentile), Antonio Gibson rates as one of the most formidable running backs in football since the start of last season.

This year, the anemic Bills run defense has yielded a monstrous 155.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's group of LBs has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

At the present time, the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (37.3% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 125.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

More Antonio Gibson Player Props

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