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Antonio Gibson
NFL · Player Props
Antonio Gibson
RB · Washington Commanders
Rushing Yards
New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC
NFL Props Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +115.

Favors Over
  • With a remarkable record of 3.50 yards after contact (87th percentile), Antonio Gibson ranks among the best running backs in the league this year.
Favors Under
  • The Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 13.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders as the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Antonio Gibson has been a less important option in his offense's running game this season (12.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (32.7%).
  • In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the impact it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Washington Commanders ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year.
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