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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.9 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to notch 3.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-least in the league.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Antonio Gibson's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, accumulating a mere 5.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.95 mark last season.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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