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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Anthony Richardson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +133 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

The Jaguars defense has conceded the 6th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.75 per game this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 51.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

At the present time, the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (46.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Colts.

The fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a measly 48.0 per game on average).

Anthony Richardson has attempted a measly 19.8 throws per game this year, ranking in the 16th percentile among quarterbacks.

Anthony Richardson's 48.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year's 57.3% rate.

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