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Anthony Richardson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+210/-300).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +210.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.The Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (37.1 per game) since the start of last season.The Indianapolis offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.Since the start of last season, the deficient Chicago Bears defense has allowed a massive 1.74 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.At the moment, the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (49.4% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.With a feeble 55.1% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Anthony Richardson stands as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in the league.As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Chicago's CB corps has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.
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