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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Anthony Richardson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-270/+210).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the poor New England Patriots defense has been torched for a whopping 1.67 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.

The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 48.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

Right now, the least pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (44.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Indianapolis Colts.

In this week's game, Anthony Richardson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.2.

Anthony Richardson's passing precision has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 57.3% to 46.1%.

With a terrible rate of just 0.62 per game (13th percentile), Anthony Richardson places among the weakest TD throwers in the league this year.

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