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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Anthony Richardson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+210/-290).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -280 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -290.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are giant -7-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

The Colts O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Colts to be the least pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 43.8% red zone pass rate.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

In tallying a measly 24.2 pass attempts per game this year, Anthony Richardson places among the bottom quarterbacks in football (20th percentile) for this stat.

Anthony Richardson's 47.4% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy diminishment in his throwing precision over last season's 57.3% figure.

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