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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts as the 4th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Indianapolis's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially increased (and running stats reduced) due to playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some correction with windier conditions in this game.
  • In this game, Anthony Richardson is predicted by our trusted projection set to accrue the 5th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 9.4.
  • While Anthony Richardson has earned 22.4% of his offense's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be much more involved in Indianapolis's ground game this week at 30.9%.
  • With an exceptional rate of 6.5 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (90th percentile), Anthony Richardson ranks as one of the best running quarterbacks in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their usual approach.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have only 126.5 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.

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