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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 7th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Anthony Richardson is expected by the predictive model to garner the 4th-most carries out of all QBs with 7.6.

Anthony Richardson isn't afraid to call his own number, taking on 23.4% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among quarterbacks.

Anthony Richardson has picked up 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (95th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are giant -7-point underdogs.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

This year, the strong Detroit Lions run defense has conceded a paltry 90.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 4th-best in the NFL.

The Lions safeties project as the best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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