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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Anthony Richardson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 174.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 199.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 174.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the porous Patriots defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a colossal 8.22 yards.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 48.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • In this week's game, Anthony Richardson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.2.
  • Anthony Richardson comes in as one of the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging 149.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 16th percentile.
  • Anthony Richardson's passing precision has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 57.3% to 46.1%.
  • Anthony Richardson grades out as one of the worst per-play QBs in the NFL this year, averaging just 6.24 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 12th percentile.

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