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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Anthony Richardson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Anthony Richardson has racked up 1.26 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 14th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 53.5% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a mere 53.7 per game on average).
  • Anthony Richardson has attempted a measly 20.8 throws per game this year, checking in at the 11th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • The Houston Texans have intercepted 1.10 targets per game this year, ranking as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.
  • The Texans linebackers project as the 10th-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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