Anthony Richardson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-114).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.2% run rate.
The model projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Colts have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The model projects Anthony Richardson to accrue 8.6 carries in this game, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
Favors Under
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Los Angeles defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.