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Anthony Firkser

Anthony Firkser Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Anthony Firkser Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-1550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to run 67.1 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (82.2%) to tight ends this year (82.2%).
  • The Steelers defense has allowed the 2nd-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to TEs: 0.71 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • With a 52.2% rate of running the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 5th-most run-centric offense in the league in this regard has been the Lions.
  • Anthony Firkser has accumulated a measly 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 25th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Anthony Firkser's 2.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the worst in football: 25th percentile for tight ends.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year.

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