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Anthony Firkser

Anthony Firkser Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Anthony Firkser Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-1800).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1800.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.
  • This year, the weak Cowboys defense has yielded a massive 75.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • With a feeble 2.0% Red Zone Target Rate (25th percentile) since the start of last season, Anthony Firkser stands among the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.
  • Anthony Firkser has accumulated a puny 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 2nd percentile among TEs.
  • Anthony Firkser's 0.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the NFL: 19th percentile for TEs.

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