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Anthony Firkser

Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 61.8% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 8th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Anthony Firkser has been been lightly used his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of just 0.7% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 22nd percentile among tight ends.
  • Anthony Firkser has compiled a measly 1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 9th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The Detroit offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 46.0) versus tight ends this year.
  • The Rams pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against tight ends this year, yielding 5.92 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.

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