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Anthony Firkser

Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Our trusted projections expect Anthony Firkser to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack in this week's game (5.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • As it relates to air yards, Anthony Firkser grades out in just the 1st percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing just 0.0 per game.
  • This year, the fierce Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a feeble 44.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Packers pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus tight ends this year, yielding 6.00 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in football.

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