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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+940/-3000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +980 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +940.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (60.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
  • Taking on a lowly 0.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year (2nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Andy Dalton's lack of mobility makes him no threat in the run game near the goal line.
  • The Carolina offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 60.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 8th-fewest passing touchdowns in the league: 1.17 per game this year.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most touchdowns in football (1.50 per game) against the Bills defense this year.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Buffalo's group of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

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