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Andy Dalton TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season (74.2%).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
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