Andy Dalton Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.7% run rate.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to notch 2.2 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
Andy Dalton has run for quite a few less yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (10.0).

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