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Andrew Ogletree

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3600/-4000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +5000 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +3600.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.7 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the best in the league this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in football versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (76.0% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the shaky Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded a whopping 0.86 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (49.2% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Colts.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • With a low 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Andrew Ogletree ranks among the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
  • Andrew Ogletree has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (1.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).

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