My Account Log Out
 
 
Andrew Ogletree

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1700/-3000).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL against the Titans defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Colts being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to be the 4th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.1% red zone run rate.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™