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Andrew Ogletree

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+4300/-6250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -6250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the imposing Cardinals run defense has conceded a paltry 0.60 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • Andrew Ogletree has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Andrew Ogletree profiles as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in a mere 63.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

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