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Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1900/-3000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects the Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 50.7% red zone run rate.

With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Andrew Ogletree ranks among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.

Andrew Ogletree ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, completing just 63.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 20th percentile.

More Andrew Ogletree Player Props

Andrew Ogletree TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5