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Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+4000/-7750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -7750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Los Angeles Rams run defense has conceded a feeble 0.70 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Colts to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 50.5% red zone run rate.

With a feeble 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Andrew Ogletree ranks as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in football.

With a poor 63.1% Adjusted Completion% (20th percentile) last year, Andrew Ogletree has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to TEs.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season (67.6% Adjusted Completion%).

More Andrew Ogletree Player Props

Andrew Ogletree TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4