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Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1250/-6750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -6750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Texans linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.4% red zone run rate.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).

With a meager 1.9% Red Zone Target Share (23rd percentile) this year, Andrew Ogletree ranks among the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.

Andrew Ogletree has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (2.0 per game) than he did last year (9.0 per game).

More Andrew Ogletree Player Props

Andrew Ogletree TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13